Solved: Why use autocorrelation instead of autocovariance when examining stationary time series?

Why use autocorrelation instead of autocovariance when examining stationary time series?

Expert Answer

We can use the autocorrelation of the residuals from our estimated time-series model to assess model fit. The autocorrelation between one time-series observation and another one at distance k in time is known as the kth order autocorrelation.

     A correctly specified autoregressive model will have residual autocorrelations that do not differ significantly from zero

In order to determine whether a time series is an AR(p) or a MA(q), we can examine the autocorrelations. The autocorrelations for an AR model will generally begin as large values and gradually decline. The autocorrelations for a MA model will drop dramatically after q lags are reached, identifying both the MA process and its order.

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